Topic Corona pandemic model
  Pandemic Dec 2020
  The corona pandemic has Germany, Europe and the world under control. Everyone wonders why did this virus affect us? The layperson cannot contribute much to the medical aspects, but a small mathematical model of the corona pandemic can depict the real temporal pandemic course in a model at any time - and thus make it possible to predict the future.

From today's perspective (mid-April 2020), this worked well.
Let's see how the future looks like.
The situation mid June has changed from strict lock down to some relaxations
and the figures stabilize on a medium level - no further reduction.

The November/ December 2020 data was terrible. The situation is out of control. Every calculation and forecast is like a looking at a magic glass sphere.

Presentation A 13-page report with information on the model structure and examples from various countries (including Italy, Spain, Denmark) - a total of 456 kB - sorry up to now only in German !
Data An Excel data sheet with various single sheets for several countries of this corona-tormented world. (250 kB for 9 single sheets/ and calculation of different countries)

And in addition an overview about the real data by WHO, ECDC and RKI
Notes Important: this is a simulation based on the real data of the Corona disease from the Robert Koch Institute for Germany. More details on professional medical / epidemic models (such as the well-known SIR model by W. O. Kermack and A. G. McKendrick (1927)) can be found in the official literature.
April 2020